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Top investment bank revises Adobe target as AI strategy backfires

Adobe ( ADBE ), the software maker behind Photoshop and Acrobat, beat estimates for its May quarter earnings and raised its guidance for the full year.

However, the company told Wall Street it will grow at a slower pace this year, as it reported record sales.

Investors sold ADBE on news, pushing the stock to its lowest level for the year.

The reason for Adobe’s slow growth has to do with a bet the company is making about how customers will use its artificial intelligence tools.

JPMorgan has reset the ADBE target because of it.

Why JPMorgan is cutting its Adobe price after a strong quarter

JPMorgan lowered its price target on Adobe to $340 from $420 while maintaining its overweight rating, meaning the company still expects the stock to beat the market, MarketScreener reports.

The cut came after the second quarter report, and the trigger was guidance.

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Adobe lowered its forecast for annual recurring revenue growthWall Street’s strong subscription income is watching closely, at about 2 percent from about 10.2 percent.

JPMorgan has read the move as Adobe is gearing up near-term spending for higher profits in the future.

Which means the company is giving up subscription dollars right now to capture the huge long-term opportunity in AI.

However, while the logic makes sense, it requires investors to be patient, but the market was already nervous about Adobe and was in no mood to wait.

Adobe shares fell to a 52-week low after the company cut its recurring revenue forecast.Smith Collection/Gado / Getty Images

Adobe reported for its second quarter

The second quarter looked tight.

Adobe posted record revenue of $6.62 billion, up 13% from a year earlier, and non-GAAP earnings of $5.96 per share, both ahead of estimates, according to the company’s earnings release to Business Wire.

Total annual recurring revenue reached $27.10 billion, and the piece tied to Adobe’s new AI products more than tripled from a year ago to more than $500 million, according to an SEC filing.

Adobe’s second quarter at a glance

  • Record revenue of $6.62 billionup 13% year-on-year.

  • Non-GAAP earnings of $5.96 per shareabove the $5.82 consensus, TipRanks noted.

  • Full year income and suggested profit targets.

  • Recurring revenue growth guidance was lowered by about 2 percentage points.

Why Adobe’s freemium AI bet investors

Adobe leans towards the freemium approachwhich means giving users free access to additional AI features in hopes of converting them into paying customers later.

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